An Analytical Approach to Analogue/Digital Transition in Radio and Television Broadcasting

ABSTRACT The International Telecommunication Union (ITU) has directed some countries of the world to migrate from analogue to digital broadcasting service before June 17, 2015. This transition has many challenges which have been approached in many ad hoc ways by several countries. This study is aimed at formulating a model that could measure the degree of success of the digital transition programme at any stage of the process. It uses control engineering approach, particularly the state variable analysis, to direct the preparation and implementation of the transition exercise. Success factors which include: teamwork across the value chain (T), strong leadership (L(t)), effective communication strategy (C) and sufficient financial resources for the transition (R), are identified as the key parameters of the transition. The result from the model simulation shows that the degrees of success of the transition programme when the inputs are bad, poor, fair, good and excellent are 18.40%, 36.80%, 55.2%, 73.60% and 92.00% respectively. The study is significant in that it develops a model that could measure the degrees of success of the programme, when the success factors (inputs) and the initial conditions (), are known. A model for sustainability of digital radio and television broadcasting is left for future research.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Title Page i

Approval Page ii

Certification iii

Declaration iv

Dedication v

Acknowledgements vi

Abstract viii

List of Figures ix

List of Tables x

Table of Contents xi

CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION 1

1.1 Background of the Study 1

1.2 The International Telecommunication Union (ITU) Guidelines 2

1.3 Regional/Country Transition Roadmaps 4

1.4 The Success Factors for Digital Transition Programme 5

1.4.1 Cooperation and coordination across the value chain 5

1.4.2 Strong leadership 5

1.4.3 Effective Communications Strategy 6

1.4.4 Sufficient Financial Resources for the Digital Implementing Team 6

1.5 Monitoring and Evaluation Scheme 6

1.6 The Problem Statement 7

1.7 Aim of the Study 7

1.8 Scope of the Study 8

1.9 Thesis Outline 8

xii

CHAPTER TWO: REVIEW OF RELATED LITERATURE 9

2.1 Introduction 9

2.2 Approaches to Digital Radio and Television Broadcasting 9

2.3 State Variable Analysis 35

2.4 Fuzzy Logic 36

2.5 Summary 37

CHAPTER THREE: METHODOLOGY 38

3.1 Introduction 38

3.2 The Conceptual Model 38

3.3 The State Transition Matrix 41

3.4 Method of Data Acquisition 45

3.4.1 The Model Simulation Procedure 46

3.4.2 The Flowchart of the Model Simulation. 47

3.5 The Expected Results of the Study 49

3.6 Summary 49

CHAPTER FOUR: PRESENTATION OF RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS 50

4.1 Introduction 50

4.2 Presentation of Results 50

4.3 Analysis of Results 54

4.4 Discussion of Results 60

4.5 Summary 61

CHAPTER FIVE: SUMMARY, CONCLUSIONS AND SUGGESTIONS 62

5.1 Summary 62

5.2 Conclusions 63

xiii

5.3 Challenges Encountered 63

5.3 Suggestions for Future Studies 63

REFERENCE 64

APPENDIX A 69

APPENDIX B 79

APPENDIX C 80