Statistics Research Papers/Topics

An Assessment Of Women's Autonomy By Fertility Behaviour In Northern Nigeria

ABSTRACT The study examined women's autonomy by fertility behaviour in northern Nigeria using Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey women recode dataset. Analyses were done at three levels, univariate level by means of frequency distribution, bivariate level by using Chi-square test and multivariate level by the use of multinomial logistic regression models. Findings revealed that 7.1 % of women enjoyed autonomy. In all, 63. 7% of women were working and there was a significance relationship ...

Modelling Of Demand For Endowment Life Insurance In Tanzania

ABSTRACT This study was done to determine the model for endowment life insurance in Tanzania. Longitudinal research design covering data from year 2003 to 2017 was used. These data were typically secondary collected from the National Insurance Corporation (T) Limited. A trend line graph was used to fit the demand model to predict the endowment life insurance in Tanzania. Among the fitted models, cubic regression model was found to be the best model fit for endowment life insurance. The study...

Modelling And Forecasting Estimation Exchange Rate Volatility In The Sudan

Abstract: The exchange rate is one of the macro-economic variables that have an impact on macroeconomic with its different sectors and the Exchange rate policy is one the most important policies that adopted by some countries to solve some of the economic problems. Therefore we must stand on timeline impact of the exchange rate in Sudan and build a predictive model for predicting exchange rates in Sudan. It requires finding suitable models to the nature of commercial time-series data. We mus...

Exponentiated Inverse Rayleigh Distribution and an Application to Coating Weights of Iron Sheets Data

Abstract . Introduction In this research life time distribution known as exponentiated inverse Rayleigh distribution (EIRD) was developed and it can be used in reliability estimation and statistical quality control techniques. Te Rayleigh distribution is originated from two parameter Weibull distribution and it is appropriate model for life-testing studies. It can be shown by transformation of random variable that if the random variable (r. v) T has Rayleigh distribution, then the r. v. � =...

Time Series Analysis Of Oil Price Shocks And Inflation In Tanzania- An Ardl And Var Approach

ABSTRACT  Oil is essential raw materials in running daily economic activities in Tanzania. The importation of oil in the country is heavily increasing due to the increasing number of cars, motorcycles, industries, and other machines which need oil for their operations. But the imported oil has been going along with the imported inflation in the country. It is assumed that the strong and stable inflation influence economic growth of a country since it inspires savers, investments, and enhance...

Imputation Of Missing Values For Bilinear Time Series Models

Missing observations is a common occurrence in data collection. To solve this problem, researchers have developed missing value imputation techniques for some linear and nonlinear time series models with normal and stable innovations using estimating function criterion. This criterion does not take into consideration the distribution of the innovation sequence of the time series model. Therefore the aim of this study was to develop explicit optimal linear estimators of missing values for seve...

Geoadditive Bayesian Model For Data With Limited Spatial Information

Abstract Large area estimation has been mostly accomplished using Geoadditive Models (GM) which combines the ideas of Geostatistics and additive models. The GM relaxes the classical assumptions of traditional parametric model by simultaneously incorporating linear and nonlinear, nonparametric effects of covariates, nonlinear interactions and spatial effects into a Geoadditive predictor. In the past, estimation of GM has been based on large area as a result of insufficient information in sma...

Bayesian Predictive Analyses For An Exponential Nonhomogeneous Poisson Process In Software Reliability

ABSTRACT Software reliability is defined as the probability of failure free operation of a software in a specified environment during a specified period. Software reliability has been the focus of several researches over the last four decades. One of the earliest software reliability models is the exponential nonhomogeneous Poisson process developed by Goel and Okumoto in 1979. Most research works have considered fitting different software reliability models to different software reliability...

Determination Of An Efficient Sampling Design For Rare And Clustered Population Using Design Based Estimators

ABSTRACT A sampling design that provides estimates of population mean and abundance with small variance is important to researchers. Estimates that are accurate even with minimal sampling efforts allow researchers to easily and confidently investigate rare populations. In the determination of efficient sampling design for rare and clustered population, mean square errors have been applied in many previous research works. However, this method only captures the variability of the estimator and...

Testing For Homogeneity Of Proportions Using New Mcdonald Generalized Beta-Binomial Distribution

ABSTRACT Testing for homogeneity of proportions in handling over-dispersion is employed in toxicology, teratology, consumers purchasing behavior, alcohol drinking behavior, in studies of dental caries in children and other similar fields. An important inference problem of interest is to compare proportions of certain characteristic in several groups. However, these proportions often exhibit variation greater than predicted by a simple binomial model. In real world applications, the binomial ...

Markov Chain And Stock Price Movement In Nigeria (1985-2013)

ABSTRACT The share prices of the stock market are volatile in nature. Investors are at risk without an indepth knowledge of the operations of the stock market. We used regression analysis to ascertain the relationship between the movement of share prices and economic growth. A regression model was developed to capture the effect of the movement of share prices in the Nigerian stock exchange market on economic growth. Markov chain was used to find effect of the share prices. The results show ...

Bayesian Predictive Analyses For Non-Homogeneous Poisson Process In Software Reliability With Musa-Okumoto Intensity Function

ABSTRACT Due to rapid increase in development of complex computer systems over the past decades, there is need to estimate and predict the reliability of software systems during the testing process. Reliability refers to how well software meets its requirements and the probability of failure free operation for the specified period of time in a specified environment. The high demand and use of software has led to increased quest for more reliable software. For the past few decades several soft...

Determination Of Volatility Clustering In Garch Family Models Using R

ABSTRACT This work investigated the volatility clustering of exchange rate of Nigeria Naira against the United States of America Dollar. The data used in the present study consist of the monthly exchange rates of the Naira to Dollar from January 1999 to December 2012 obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria. The main focus is to provide a proper understanding of the theory and empirical working of GARCH family models and to determine volatility clustering. The EGARCH(2,2) model was selected...

Interval Estimation For The Beta-Binomial Dispersion Parameter

ABSTRACT The dispersion parameter in proportions occurring in toxicology, biology, clinical medicine and epidemiology is important in making inference regarding the regression parameters on the mean. Most data in form of proportions often exhibit excess variation (extra-dispersion). This can arise when the data is from different sub-populations (clusters) or when the assumption of independence is violated. The Beta-Binomial distribution has been applied to model over-dispersion in binary res...


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